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Soochow securities: The demand resonance of land, sea and wind installations is optimistic about the long-term growth of the plate. soochow securities released a research report saying that in 2025, the growth rate of wind installations will be high, with long-term growth. Dongfang Cable (603606.SH) and Qifan Cable (605222.SH) are recommended, and Zhongtian Technology (600522.SH) and Hengtong Optoelectronics (600487. SH) are concerned; Daikin Heavy Industry (002487.SZ), Tianshun Wind Energy (002531.SZ), Haili Wind Energy (301155.SZ) and Taisheng Wind Energy (300129.SZ) are recommended.The onshore RMB closed at 7.2615 yuan against the US dollar at night, down 124 points from Tuesday's night closing. The turnover was $57.609 billion.The US dollar index rose more than 0.2%, and the Japanese yen once rose to 151. The Canadian dollar almost retreated the increase since the Bank of Canada cut interest rates. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), the ICE dollar index rose by 0.25% to 106.663 points, which was as low as 106.268 points at 10:56 Beijing time, and then as high as 106.806 points at 18:11. USD/JPY rose 0.34% to 152.47 yen, and the intraday trading range was 151.02-152.82 yen. At 17:11, the daily low was refreshed and instantly reversed. When the US CPI data was released, the daily high was refreshed.

Ferrous lithium phosphate has strong demand, so it is hard to hide the embarrassment of "meager profit" because the orders of enterprises are full. In December, the Ferrous lithium phosphate market continued to heat up, and most enterprises had full orders. However, contrary to the fiery market, it is still difficult for most enterprises to reverse the "meager profit" situation. "From the market situation, the growth in demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage markets has promoted the warming of the Ferrous lithium phosphate market. Most Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises are affected by factors such as rising raw material prices, weak bargaining power of products and fierce competition in the industry, resulting in pressure on profits. " Yu Xiaoming, a senior investment consultant of Shaanxi Jufeng Investment Information Co., Ltd., said that in the long run, with the technological progress and market expansion, the profitability of Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises is expected to improve. (Securities Daily)The rhythm of "Shangxin" accelerates the issuance of public offering REITs exceeding 50 billion yuan during the year. This year, the pace of initial projects in the public offering REITs market has obviously accelerated. Up to now, the cumulative issuance scale during the year has exceeded 50 billion yuan. At the same time, the number of REITs fund managers in the whole market has increased to 25 fund institutions, and the breadth and depth of participation of relevant parties have continued to expand. Looking forward to 2025, institutional sources said that the construction of domestic REITs primary and secondary markets is expected to continue to advance. With the entry of more diversified assets and investor types, the market scale and activity are expected to further increase. (Economic Information Daily)Standard & Poor's: It is expected that the rise of trade protectionism in major economies will damage the GDP growth of most emerging markets, but the impact will depend on specific policies. Central banks in emerging markets are expected to take a more cautious stance, but monetary easing will continue.

CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. (SSE)